Over/Under and Fantasy Output

By Johnnie Walton    

How do you predict fantasy output? Mathew Berry? Jeffrey Jon Pitts? Perhaps. How about linemakers? If you had any doubt before please put that away. Over/Under is a good predictor of total fantasy output.

Below is over/under, the number of games since 2001 with this over/under before the game and the average fantasy points amongst games with the over/under.

Over/UnderNumber of GamesFantasy Pts Avg.
33 45 94.39111
34 96 93.64688
35 116 100.38103
36 132 98.44924
37 232 100.92371
38256 103.32148
39 205 104.56049
40 204 103.25784
41 268 110.09963
42 259 113.96100
43 266 117.37895
44 301 121.00166
45 240 119.69083
46 187 121.61070
47 170 124.81647
48 164 124.89817
49 65 133.44615
50 61 143.15738
51 58 139.09655
52 33 141.66667
53 23 146.46087
54 18 136.28889
55 8 157.21250
56 11 147.55455